All of these waterways are adjacent to land features possessed or controlled by U.S. Along the First Island Chain, there are only a limited number of waterways-including the Miyako Strait and the Bashi Channel (in the Luzon Strait near the Philippines)-through which Chinese SSBNs can transit. The biggest roadblock is the existence of major chokepoints separating China’s coastal waters from the Pacific Ocean. Geography lends various advantages to the United States’ and its allies’ efforts to block Chinese SSBNs from patrolling in the Pacific Ocean. freedom of navigation operations off China’s coast and the continued reinvigoration of U.S. Chinese concerns are exacerbated by continued U.S. These assets include attack submarines, ASW-capable surface ships, maritime ASW aircraft, and surveillance ships that can prepare for and assist in ASW operations. The United States and its allies wield a variety of ASW platforms that could threaten China’s SSBNs. regional allies pose to China’s SSBNs has significantly affected their survivability and has important implications for strategic stability. The threat that the ASW capabilities of the United States, Japan, and other U.S. These rival ASW capabilities also have important ramifications for the operational strategy China adopts for its SSBNs and, hence, affect the risks of a conventional conflict and inadvertent escalation as well. The survivability of Chinese SSBNs and the resulting impact on strategic stability in the Asia Pacific are shaped not only by the structural features and operational practices of China’s submarines but also by how the United States and its regional partners respond to China’s nuclear submarine fleet.
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